According to Nate Silver, the polling maven, the vote split was somewhere between 2008 and 2010.
Nate Silver made his name making uncannily accurate baseball predictions.
"Did you see the piece by Nate Silver on the Republican primary field?"
Nate Silver has just published a very long analysis of the 2012 presidential election.
But the whole thing is the kind of small-sample-size guff Nate Silver used to sneer at.
Eighteen pitchers may not be a large sample, so Nate Silver has gone much further.
The panel's other famous baseball data head was Nate Silver.
Nate Silver proposes that Kasparov experienced anxiety over this particular move, which led him to lose the second game.
Nate Silver wrote a defense of his method in response.
Nate Silver detects a very small amount of tightening in the polls.